
Johnny Depp’s John Dillinger in Michael Mann’s Public Enemy may come at you as if he were a tommy gun exploding like fireworks on the Fourth of July. David Brooks, meanwhile, slips in with wet penny loafers that leave marks on your hardwood floor, pretending to be Fred Astaire dancing with a typewriter.
Bobo escapes domestic political fireworks to cover a conference on China-US relations. His Chinese Fireworks Display conflates the Fourth of July and China, home of the fireworks we’ll see tomorrow. He uses it as a segue to attack a Democratic Party-led government’s spending.
Brooks omits to mention most of our current debt the Obama administration inherited from Mr. Bush. He avoided such questions when Shrub was spending on two wars like a drunken Bush in Dallas on a Saturday night. That profligate spending was enabled by approving it via the "supplemental" process, rather than ordinary budgeting process, thereby avoiding open debate about those wars and what they cost.
Mr. Bush did that while cutting inheritance, gift and income taxes on the wealthy because, well, his family has been wealthy since John D. Rockefeller shipped his first barrel of Pennsylvanian crude oil from his offices in Cleveland, OH, and because those cuts mean he inherits more of it when his forebears pass on.
Of more interest than Bobo’s topic – ordinarily a valid and important one, given China’s dominance over East Asia and our debt – is his attempt to imitate Marcy Wheeler. He offers an "unlive" blog of a conference that pitted opposing speakers’ predictions about China’s role in our future. The speakers were historian of the moment Niall Ferguson and longtime East Asian correspondent and Atlantic commentator James Fallows.
Niall Ferguson is the enfant terrible of economic, imperial and military history. Well-born in Glasgow (his parents were a medical doctor and teacher of physics), he graduated with top honors from the University of Oxford. He went on, in a typically British way, effortlessly to earn his doctorate and turn his dissertation into a major book. He was a multi-millionaire by his mid-thirties, having produced best selling histories, television shows, and columns for the Daily Mail and the Financial Times.
In his politics and zeal, Ferguson is a neocon and a contrarian, the intellectual opponents of Naomi Klein, Joseph Stiglitz and Paul Krugman. He’s still in love with Margaret Thatcher and is adept at revisionist history backed up with intense, but creatively used research. He’s America’s imperial historian, imitating Britain’s imperial poet, Rudyard Kipling. Apart from his teaching, he’s a senior fellow at the Hoover Institute.
Mr. Ferguson thinks America should rise to its "liberal" imperial obligations instead of shrinking from them like Chamberlain hoping to escape Munich by only giving away Czechoslovakia. He compares China to Wilhelmine Germany,
a growing, aggressive, nationalistic power whose ambitions will tear through pre-existing commercial ties and historic friendships,
with all that implies for ignoring its power and ambition. Founding chairman of the New America Foundation, The Atlantic’s James Fallows, a Rhodes Scholar and former editor of Harvard’s, Crimson, has actually lived and worked in China and covered Japan and East Asia for three decades. (A partial bibliography is here.) According to Bobo, Fallows,
agreed with parts of Ferguson’s take on the economic fundamentals, but seemed to regard Ferguson’s analysis of the Chinese psychology as airy-fairy academic theorizing.
Ferguson, ever the frustrated rugby player, shot back,
You’ve been in China too long.
Perhaps Mr. Ferguson, who teaches at both Oxford and Harvard, writes histories and produces television versions of them, hasn’t been there enough. In any event, Mr. Fallows is more sanguine about Chinese intentions and the prospect for its relations with the US. However optimistic Chinese leaders may be about managing their domestic problems, they have a bird’s eye view on America’s debt problem:
the U.S. is following unsustainable fiscal policies that will lead to decline, but they view this with frustration, not joy.
I agree with Bobo, that Fallows has the better, less intentionally dramatic argument. China is now a world player. It will be a bigger one relative to us as we continue to outspend our resources. The situation is reminiscent of the demise of England’s empire, which Ferguson laments, as it ceded lost power relative to the US after the First and Second World Wars.
China’s relations with us are symbiotic, but needn’t stay that way. Whether they do depends as much on the US – and especially this administration – as it does on how China manages itself and our debt.





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Bobo uses the meme that the US Government is outspending its resources in order to argue, in other columns and like Ferguson, that the US should cut its social spending to pay for its “liberal” imperial ambitions (an oxymoron in most academic circles).
Like California’s Republican state legislators, that argument assumes that raising revenue – like regulating Goldman Sachs – is a logical, political and regulatory impossibility. It also assumes that spending less on wasteful military spending (and uncontrolled government outsourcing and unmonitored government contracting) is equally impossible. Horse manure.
That’s not to say any of these problems is easy, any more than is navigating the Pacific. But Paul Krugman argues that promptly reversing Bush’s tax cuts alone would fund much health care reform. Modest tax hikes would pay for some economic incentives. As would actually collecting oil and gas royalties and use fees for public lands from the big oil, big cattle and big ag enterprises that owe them. So would revising the tax code and investing in the IRS to actually collect corporate taxes owed. (Now at their lowest rate since the first Great Depression.) Credible health care reform would actually cut six hundred billion in costs.
In short, we could cut costs and expand the revenue side of the equation by resurrecting and empowering the gamut of federal agencies through whose hearts Bush drove a lobbyist’s stake. But that makes the powerful pay taxes they now avoid, while reaping the benefits of taxes paid by others. In other words, those with the most are free riding on their brethren (while they argue that the opposite is true), while denying them such things as job protections and basic health care.
The issue gets back to basics. In whose interests should government be run, by whom (Goldman?) and at whose cost?
I’m relieved Bobo is chattering about furrin issues. His take on Ensign, Sanford, Palin will be fun to deconstruct, but excruciating in its “logic”.
We live in the Age of Stupid where one dope opines on another and both pursue well compensated and successful careers in dimwittery.
Ferguson may be brilliant, but he’s a throwback to the days of imperial power over the rights and well-being of the citizenry. Little wonder he teaches economic history to those who will follow in the footsteps of Enron and Goldman Sachs.
Another shoe has dropped in the GM bankruptcy “reorganization” saga. Chinese firm BAIC has joined the bidding for GM Europe.
It’s always cheaper to pick up the separate pieces than buy the whole thing. That leaves the dross for the taxpayer and hides what really happens to the company and its key assets, including technology.