Several recent diaries and front page posts have focused on the problems of the changes in the bailout program: Ian Welsh, Dean Baker, and Scarecrow have pointed out that Paulson followed the ruts of the Bush administration in picking out a proposed course of action and mulishly insisting on it in the face of the facts on the ground, and using all sorts of trickery to evade statutory duties. A central criticism has been the delay in getting the program up and running.
I think this delay gave activists a chance to get Paulson to do something right, in shifting to direct investment, and offers us further chances to get more done right.
There are two areas where we can have an effect. First, Paulson can’t do the cash injection without first reporting to the “appropriate committees”. This appears in the definitions section, Section 3(9)(B) of the bailout bill (the first section 3) defines troubled assets to include:
any other financial instrument that the Secretary, after consultation with the Chairman of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, determines the purchase of which is necessary to promote financial market stability, but only upon transmittal of such determination, in writing, to the appropriate committees of Congress.
The “appropriate committees” are defined in Section 3(1) to be the Committee on Banking, Housing, and Urban Affairs, the Committee on Finance, the Committee on the Budget, and the Committee on Appropriations of the Senate; and the Committee on Financial Services, the Committee on Ways and Means, the Committee on the Budget, and the Committee on Appropriations of the House of Representatives.
This gives all of us an opportunity to influence the members of these committees to take action on matters we think are important.
The second chance arises from the requirement that Paulson publish his policies for implementing the program, contained in Section 101(A):
The Secretary is authorized to establish the Troubled Asset Relief Program (or ‘‘TARP’’) to purchase, and to make and fund commitments to purchase, troubled assets from any financial institution, on such terms and conditions as are determined by the Secretary, and in accordance with this Act and the policies and procedures developed and published by the Secretary.
Subsection (b) says that the requirement for publishing policies is not intended to slow down implementation of the bill, and it won’t, but it will give everyone an opportunity to influence the policies rather quickly. The policies should come quickly, because they will insulate the Treasury from the possibility of being sued, or really screwing up on the conflict of interest problems, ably summarized by Alan Blinder in today’s NYT.
Here’s my list of important items.
1. Major equity stakes. If a lender has to get protection, the Treasury should insist on a huge stake. This is crucial to insuring that the institution has seriously sought private investment. If the private sector won’t invest, it is likely because the institution is sicker than we think, and if we are going to bail it out, we should get serious protection. Equally important, if the institution knows it will have to give a serious stake to the public investor, it won’t be shy about trying to give up a bit less to the private sector investor.
2. Real restrictions on compensation. Paulson, ever anxious to protect his buddies, seems to think he can avoid imposing real restrictions on compensation through direct injection of capital, but that looks wrong on two counts. First, the statute imposes compensation restrictions on any institution that sells any troubled asset. Look at Section 111(B):
(1) IN GENERAL.—Where the Secretary determines that the purposes of this Act are best met through direct purchases of troubled assets from an individual financial institution where no bidding process or market prices are available, and the Secretary receives a meaningful equity or debt position in the financial institution as a result of the transaction, the Secretary shall require that the financial institution meet appropriate standards for executive compensation and corporate governance. The standards required under this subsection shall be effective for the duration of the period that the Secretary holds an equity or debt position in the financial institution.
This section will also require rules. We can influence the rules by raising the issues with the appropriate committees.
The second reason Paulson should impose special limits is that he is required to protect the taxpayer. It is silly to argue that people relying on public money should get huge salaries that come directly out of our pockets. And there is no reason to think he is limited to the weak provisions of the Bailout Bill. He can impose whatever conditions he thinks necessary to protect taxpayers.
3. Strong Financial Covenants. Ian Welsh and Dean Baker think we should get voting stock. I don’t disagree, but I worry about the possibility of myocardial infarction among republicans if we got voting stock at the outset. We can achieve whatever we want by use of strong financial covenants in the instrument defining the rights of the instrument the Treasury is buying. Our securities should get voting rights if specified conditions about performance of the institutions are not met. We could limit cash compensation to the executive class. We could bar dividends until we are out. We could insist on a preferential return. We can require reports. We can set minimum financial ratios, like debt to equity, cash on hand, limits on investments in credit default swaps and other new toxic waste, and so on. There is no limit on this, and we should insist that Paulson take aggressive action to do it. We have lots of oversight in place to move this forward.
This is no time to give up. This is a time to redouble our calls and e-mails to insist on full protection of our interests.





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“I don’t disagree, but I worry about the possibility of myocardial infarction among republicans if we got voting stock at the outset.” One can hope can’t one?
“The Treasury should match the Japanese company’s injection by acquiring PREFERRED stock that converts to shares at a price higher than Mitsubishi UFJ’s purchase price, Soros wrote in the column, published today on the Web.”
Thank heaven for the editing feature. This has a couple of minor typo changes and reinsertion of some words that got inadvertently left out.
I think the exercise price should be the lowest stock price within 10 days of the date the investment was made. This will insure we get the increase in price that arises from our investment.
Masaccio, the 10 days doesn’t provide for even lower valuation from when the investment was made; the reason I specify -as did Buffet- is:
http://www.investorwords.com/3…..stock.html
Absolutely agree on the need for covenants, the position of a minority shareholder is way too tenuous for the size of investment by the gov’t. The banks would ask no less from any borrower, or the IMF from Argentina.
A presence on the Board of Directors is needed as well.
This is helpful. Unless I misunderstand, you’re suggesting that the ability to directly capitalize by purchase of equity falls under the definition of “troubled asset”??? Sec.3(9)(B)??
I can understand why the so-called “toxic assets” would qualify under this definition, but new stocks, common or preferred, issued to the Govt in exchange for injection of cash/capital do not sound like “troubled assets.” Is this the only basis for this authority? Or have I misunderstood you?
I think this is what Nouriel Roubini was referring to when Barney Frank and Jim Moran confirmed on the House floor that equity infusions were part of the legislative intent of the bailout bill:
http://www.rgemonitor.com/roub…..egislation
I have read the bill several times, and I am pretty sure they are relying on this provision to buy new stock. The definition of new stock as a “troubled asset” is not intuitive, but I haven’t seen any other provision that seems more likely.
The British are said to be nationalizing the RB of Scotland and HBOS tomorrow morning, and looking for solid protection for the public, including forcing the banks to start lending again. From the Times Online:
“The Chancellor will also offer government guarantees on interbank lending, a key part of the financial system that has virtually dried up.The scale of the nationalisations dwarfs the rescues of Northern Rock and Bradford & Bingley and represents a potentially huge risk for the taxpayer. In return, the Government will insist on putting its own representatives on the banks’ boards and require them to reopen lending to small businesses and restrain bonus payments.”
http://business.timesonline.co…..932250.ece
Can you imagine the screaming from the repubs and their base if the Treasury put a civil servant or a representative of the taxpayers on the board of Wachovia? We’d have to have group defibrillation. What could be more socialist?
Still, we should be aware that it would be a major change in the relations between the US government and the private sector, and we might think about some of the real risks it might bring.
I hear you – I don’t think board representation should be a form of management/nationalization, just a recognition that the Board is where the power lies in any corporation and that the Govt needs a seat at that table. I see their role more as that of inspectors of a bankrupt estate as opposed to management – I don’t want to see bureaucrats running banks anymore than I want to see umpires playing major league baseball, but in the short term I think it is essential to make sure the bailout works.
How does this proposal compare with the deal Buffet got investing… was it Goldman?
Taxpayer have more money and therefore should be able to negotiate a much better deal. Will Paulson do that?
Is this a good idea to push? If so what do we tell congress critters to do?
Also. Hey these bankers screwed us citizens royally. Now in a sense they are over a barrel. Why can’t citizens be good business men and women and get as much equity out of them as we can. They owe us!
Let me repeat that …the owe us… they owe us bigtime! They took advantantage when they could get away with it, we should take at least some if it back.
Mighty fine diary, masaccio.
Digg this diary please.
Done!
Thanks 4 the link!
Great post massacio!
The FDL light cavalry rides again! Hit hard! Hit early! (As always, in a non-violent kind of way).
The Congressional notification is pro forma. Reports I have heard say that the buy in program will be voluntary, aimed at already “solvent” banks, on terms that will be “attractive” to them, and would be I assume as indicated in the bailout bill, either for non-voting stock or warrants for such stock.
New Gallup Tracking Poll out today. The results? Obama up 7—or 10—-you choose.
Gallup is now showing it’s results THREE (yeah count em) ways..
Among registered voters (the population Gallup has been tracking for months), Obama is up by ten.
Among Gallup’s good ol “likely voter” group- (which penalizes people if they didn’t vote last time), Obama is up by 7
Among the NEW likely voter group (based on reported INTENTION to vote), Obama is up by ten.
So have it YOUR way.
First off, isn’t Pat Robertson on the board of RB of Scotland? (ironic after specifically naming that bank as one of the instruments of Anti-Christ in one of his early books)
Secondly, I’m a little concerned about the merging of state and corporate interests – isn’t that one of the definitions of fascism?
I’m not saying these proposals from the left are necessarily a bad idea, I just think we need to be VERY careful…
OT: Hot damn. Obama up 51 to 43 in MO according to SurveyUSA today. Unbelievable.
That’s what their taxpayer-funded defibrillators are for.
This is snark, right? It has been the subordination of state interests to corporate ones over the last 30 years (or 60 years if you count the MIC) that got us into this mess. It will take a re-assertion of the state acting on behalf of the public to rectify it.
CNBC reporting that new econ pkg might include payments to S&L govts to do infrastructure spending.
Breaking: No New Economic Proposal Expected From McCain
http://www.nytimes.com/2008/10…..3plan.html
Well, that’s a surprise.
that should be his motto: “McCain/Palin ‘08: Nothing New”
That sounds pretty vague but it could help mitigate revenues lost because of the housing crisis.
An update:
Monday, October 13, 2008
“Fed Leads Unprecedented Push by Central Banks to Flood Market With Dollars”
“The reader/investor who sent the link to this Bloomberg story provided the comments below. Note he does NOT resort to capital letters casually:
“THIS IS FUNCTIONALLY UNSECURED LENDING TO THESE CB’S. “
Don’t you wish you could borrow big money without having to provide collateral?
AND, despite all these measures, the short term credit markets are essentially unchanged; the 3 month Libor is STILL more than 3 per cent more than than the FED funds rate of 1.5 per cent (the federal funds rate is what banks charge each other for overnight loans. The rate is a benchmark used by lenders in setting rates for consumer and business loans.)
YES, call the Congress critters and demand that Paulson, in taking equity ’stakes’, get ‘PREFERRED STOCK’ !!! Just like the Europeans are doing !!
And note this: “Iraqi government fuels ‘war for oil’ theories by putting reserves up for biggest ever sale”
It’s hard to formulate a plan when you’re clueless.
Oooops, got to change the way we count them: how many econ plans has Mc announced, and how many has he failed to announce. Probably approaching 10 on the former, and this is at least the second on the latter. Holtz-Eakin must be the most bumbling econ advisor in all of history.
I might have misinterpreted what was said. It originally sounded like it was going to be part of the admin plan, but talking about it later made it sound like part of a congressional stimulus package.
BTW, Brokaw is bloviating on CNBC, sounding like a puffed up senior statesman.
Holtz-Eakin must be the most bumbling econ advisor in all of history.
I don’t disagree, but I think that you might want to also include how spectacularly bad he is as a teevee spokesperson as well. He is a disaster every single time he hits the airwaves.
More from Doug, please!
Blue Texan up at the Mothership:“Right-Wing Blogosphere Conflates Official McCain Events And McCain Supporters With Random Shit They Find On Google”
I knew the McC campaign was in deep stew from the first moment I saw DHE do a non-econ spot. Lively fellows like today’s honoree are the exception in the trade, not the rule.
Paulson is already doing the bailout OUTSIDE of the $700 billion. Fanny and Freddy have been ORDERED to purchase $40 billion per month of toxic mortgages, including subprime and alt-A. I have no idea what they are paying for these mortgages, but the price is likely a gift to Paulson’s banking buddies.
Seconded!
Buffet also got a 10% intereest gaunatee on his investment. Not much risj there as he can afford to ride out the storm. Hedging his bet on a chea buy.
If we get that deal it may pay for the green infrastructure and new jobs.
Markets picked up 7% of last weeks losses this morning.