As we are receiving guardedly optimistic news about the progress of the “top kill” operation, it is important to remember that capping the Deep Horizon well is only a small part of dealing with this disaster. The independent assessment group set up by the Obama administration puts the amount of oil spilled somewhere between 14 and 34 million gallons. This is a huge amount of toxic crude and it is still out there in the Gulf of Mexico.
One of the reasons that many in the public have been willing to accept the low-ball and self-serving estimates of BP is while there has been a huge amount of oil seen on the surface, it did not seem to be enough to give credence to the higher spill numbers. This maybe changing as a new and massive undersea plume has been found by a University of South Florida research vessel.
The plume is six miles wide and 3,300 feet deep, assuming the plume is a cone shape that gives it an area of 5.6 cubic miles. This is a huge and hidden section of oil. There is no way to know what will happen with this mass of oil. It could sink and coat the floor of the Gulf with oil, or it could come to the shore in Mississippi or Alabama. In any case the amount of toxic crude oil in the Gulf is going to be the ongoing problem.
We have very little understanding of the plumes that come form deep water leaks like this one. Yesterday in the Natural Resources Committee hearing on the BP oil disaster National Oceanographic and Atmospheric Administration Director Lubchenco was grilled as to why this kind of plume had not been studied, even though there was a National Academy of Sciences’ recommendation going back to 2003.There has been some research done by MMS that predicted that there would be plumes, but up to now the independent scientists claims of plumes have been basically treated by the Administration as BS. Scarecrow gave us all the details in this post.